Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.570418 0.672198 0.785265 0.919950 1.075783 1.250170 1.459864
2024-12-15 0.498414 0.647634 0.828493 1.062856 1.357440 1.714286 2.178043
2024-12-22 0.400448 0.570221 0.793353 1.105730 1.529002 2.079427 2.845700
2024-12-29 0.339117 0.525959 0.790651 1.188397 1.765255 2.564574 3.747306
2025-01-05 0.285794 0.480931 0.777746 1.254388 1.990679 3.072177 4.763792
2025-01-12 0.234221 0.426669 0.740177 1.276608 2.156192 3.520706 5.767997
2025-01-19 0.193602 0.380562 0.705703 1.296382 2.320471 3.991652 6.877763
2025-01-26 0.168288 0.355114 0.700284 1.362773 2.571115 4.635088 8.354332
2025-02-02 0.157886 0.355135 0.739833 1.515098 2.993722 5.622217 10.536964
2025-02-09 0.138459 0.332382 0.731901 1.577500 3.263746 6.382269 12.429444
2025-02-16 0.115523 0.296343 0.690128 1.565699 3.391069 6.901831 13.958270
2025-02-23 0.093956 0.257663 0.634536 1.514519 3.431213 7.261803 15.234749
2025-03-02 0.076273 0.224097 0.584334 1.468400 3.481053 7.661261 16.670501
2025-03-09 0.068866 0.214872 0.588666 1.546138 3.809843 8.667700 19.450397
2025-03-16 0.056683 0.189057 0.546876 1.507410 3.873580 9.133928 21.185933
2025-03-23 0.049910 0.176784 0.536841 1.544536 4.118655 10.021767 23.926587
2025-03-30 0.043862 0.164874 0.525111 1.575178 4.353665 10.919219 26.801920
2025-04-06 0.037369 0.149395 0.499720 1.564338 4.484108 11.595996 29.268720
2025-04-13 0.032122 0.136397 0.478464 1.560652 4.632450 12.334503 31.968946
2025-04-20 0.029178 0.130778 0.478591 1.618888 4.955221 13.535799 35.903641
2025-04-27 0.028810 0.134977 0.511288 1.781208 5.588849 15.583715 42.108921
2025-05-04 0.026257 0.129567 0.510886 1.841572 5.945692 16.974878 46.851874
2025-05-11 0.022547 0.117900 0.486055 1.819286 6.060941 17.756711 50.156890